Wednesday 17 September 2014

India Plays "Catch-Up" With China


India's newly elected Prime Minister Naendra Modi is taking a page from China's playbook to get India back on its feet after 3 years of weak growth and high inflation.  Mr. Modi is aiming to boost exports and raise India's share of world trade by 50%  over the next 5 years.  Mr. Modi's mantra is "Sell anywhere but manufacture here".  His Trade Minister Nirmala Sitharaman promised the government "will ensure that we do enough hand-holding with our manufacturers so that 'Made in India' becomes a brand which all of us can be proud of".

Of course, only time will tell if India can duplicate China's success.  Remember that China has a huge head-start.  The seeds for China's growth were sown back in the 1980's, when Deng Xiaoping started welcoming foreign investment and unleashed the Chinese entrepreneurial spirit through state-owned companies.  India's growth has been fueled more by services like software and business outsourcing.  Product manufacturing is already well established in many other parts of the emerging markets:  Bangladesh makes clothing, Thailand and Vietnam produce machines and computer parts, Philippine electronics have a reputation for quality and price.

But the attitude of India's leaders is both refreshing and promising.  Check back with me in 5 years to find out if their words translate into action.

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